Comments on: ‘What Ifs’ Beginning to Favor Dems in Mid-Terms http://www.pensitoreview.com/2006/03/21/what-ifs-beginning-to-favor-dems-in-mid-terms/ News and Opinion on Politics and Media Thu, 09 Feb 2012 20:12:35 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: NYlib http://www.pensitoreview.com/2006/03/21/what-ifs-beginning-to-favor-dems-in-mid-terms/comment-page-1/#comment-52625 NYlib Wed, 22 Mar 2006 06:54:10 +0000 http://www.pensitoreview.com/2006/03/21/what-ifs-beginning-to-favor-dems-in-mid-terms/#comment-52625 Flags, cymbals, and batons are going to sell this fall. Because the troops will be on parade, sweeping the Repubs. into reelection. We're suckers for patriotism. Rove is disgusting and evil, but also very clever. That was impressive the way Bush interrupted and shouted down the 87 year old Helen Thomas wasn't it? A real MAN! He was only put off his game when his pants caught fire. Liar. Liar. Flags, cymbals, and batons are going to sell this fall. Because the troops will be on parade, sweeping the Repubs. into reelection. We’re suckers for patriotism. Rove is disgusting and evil, but also very clever.
That was impressive the way Bush interrupted and shouted down the 87 year old Helen Thomas wasn’t it? A real MAN! He was only put off his game when his pants caught fire. Liar. Liar.

]]> By: Jon http://www.pensitoreview.com/2006/03/21/what-ifs-beginning-to-favor-dems-in-mid-terms/comment-page-1/#comment-52533 Jon Tue, 21 Mar 2006 18:25:45 +0000 http://www.pensitoreview.com/2006/03/21/what-ifs-beginning-to-favor-dems-in-mid-terms/#comment-52533 The biggest hurdle facing House Dems is that electoral districts are all riggged so that like 90-plus percent of House seats are safe seats. Unless a whole lot of disgusted Republicans stay home on election day, which could happen, the tilt to the Dems will be on a very slim margin. (Which I'll take.) Three elements that are working in the Dems' favor: - Bush has lost the independent voters forever. His favorability among "decline to states," as we call them here in California, is almost as lows as it as among Dems -- in the 2o and 30 percent range in most polls. This is bound to depress independents' votes for the GOP in Congress. - There is more bad news coming for the GOP: the Abramoff and MZM bribery scandals are still brewing in Congress, and there's more reverb coming at the Administration from the Plame scandals, Katrina and of course Iraq. - If the first two of these are true then we can expect in-fighting and back-biting among the GOP caucuses over issues like immigration, the runaway spending and the deficit, just for starters. They're also likely to turn on President Bush in order to separate themselves from his bad odor. Eight months too early to gloat but sure looks good right now. The biggest hurdle facing House Dems is that electoral districts are all riggged so that like 90-plus percent of House seats are safe seats. Unless a whole lot of disgusted Republicans stay home on election day, which could happen, the tilt to the Dems will be on a very slim margin. (Which I’ll take.)

Three elements that are working in the Dems’ favor:
- Bush has lost the independent voters forever. His favorability among “decline to states,” as we call them here in California, is almost as lows as it as among Dems — in the 2o and 30 percent range in most polls. This is bound to depress independents’ votes for the GOP in Congress.
- There is more bad news coming for the GOP: the Abramoff and MZM bribery scandals are still brewing in Congress, and there’s more reverb coming at the Administration from the Plame scandals, Katrina and of course Iraq.
- If the first two of these are true then we can expect in-fighting and back-biting among the GOP caucuses over issues like immigration, the runaway spending and the deficit, just for starters. They’re also likely to turn on President Bush in order to separate themselves from his bad odor.

Eight months too early to gloat but sure looks good right now.

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