I think the same thing that happened in Iowa on Saturday — Obama taking the delegates originally won by John Edwards, plus a few more that have grown disenchanted with Clinton — would happen if Florida Democrats were to mail it in.
The Iowa primary (as distinguished from the caucuses held first) showed how things have changed since January.
Obama’s gains at Saturday’s county conventions came from successfully wooing Iowa Democratic Party activists who had previously backed former Sen. John Edwards, D-N.C., as well as picking up the support of some Iowans who had backed Clinton during the Jan. 3rd precinct caucuses.
As a result of Saturday’s county conventions, Obama gained nine delegates, Clinton lost one, and Edwards lost eight delegates. Moving up by nine while Clinton moved down by one gave Obama a net gain of 10 over his rival for the Democratic presidential nomination.
Florida Democrats, if anyone still remembers, went for Clinton at 50 percent, Obama, 33 percent, Edwards, 14 percent, and everybody else, 1 percent. I can’t see Edwards voters (like me) going over to Clinton in any great number but I can see former Clinton-neutrals falling into the Clinton-ick category. I can also see some Clinton supportors becoming Clinton never-minders. Hillary is trying so hard to preserve the January Florida vote because she thinks the same thing.
And Iowa’s primary results don’t help her.
To highlight the significance of Obama netting 10 delegates at Saturday’s low-profile Iowa county conventions, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe issued a statement juxtaposing it with Clinton’s high-profile win earlier this month in Ohio’s primary.
“With all of the results in,” said Plouffe in a statement whose accuracy was confirmed by the Iowa Democratic Party, “Sen. Obama earned 25 delegates, while Sen. Clinton earned 14. Sen. Obama netted 10 delegates tonight.”
“For comparison purposes,” he added, “Sen. Clinton netted nine delegates in Ohio” by winning that state’s primary on March 4.
So, with Iowa, the latest delegate count is:
| Clinton | Obama | |
| Delegates | 1,240 | 1,407 |
| Superdelegates | 245 | 207 |
| TOTAL | 1,485 | 1,614 |
A total of 2,025 delegates is needed for the nomination to avoid a brokered convention (one where superdelegates would have to step in).
Prediction: Florida Re-Vote Would Mirror Iowa Primary…
The same thing that happened in Iowa on Saturday — Obama taking the delegates originally won by John Edwards, plus a few more that have grown disenchanted with Clinton — would happen if Florida Democrats were to mail it in. Clinton must think so to…
Count me as one Edwards voter who is not disenchanted with Hillary. Quite the opposite, any disenchantment rests with Obama and his Free Republic like supporters.
My wife feels the same as well as do virtually everyone we come in contact with here in Orlando.
Well ,
Today is March 20th, and the feeling now is that Hillary Clinton would do incredibly well in Florida, and anyone where else for that matter. If Barack Obama was the Wizard Of Oz, the curtain has been lifted, and we now see the little man.
The worst part is that this little man has big isssues with white people and definitely favors his black heritage. That was made very clear when he ripped his white grandmother in his recent speech, and went easy on his pastor. If you have not seen the tapes yet, I invite you to google them by typing in Barack Obama/Pastor. then they will all come up, and you will get the insight that only Hillary Clinton has a chance to win the General Election up against John McCain.
NOT BARACK OBAMA.
There is a big grassroots movement happening in Florida and Michigan to have the people fund a revote at http://floridamichiganrevote.com/ it is a new sit getting a lot of buzz.