Poll: Palin’s Favorable Rating Slips 10 Points in 3 Days

More evidence of a slide, cited by Newsweek:
Over the course of a single weekend, Palin went from being the most popular White House hopeful to the least.

Since Sept. 13, Palin’s unfavorables have climbed from 30 percent to 36 percent. Meanwhile, her favorables have slipped from 52 percent to 48 percent. That’s a three-day net swing of -10 points, and it leaves her in the Sept. 15 Diageo/Hotline tracking poll tied for the smallest favorability split (+12) of any of the Final Four. Over the course of a single weekend, in other words, Palin went from being the most popular White House hopeful to the least.

What happened? I’d argue that Palin’s considerable novelty is starting to wear off. In part it’s the result of a steady stream of unhelpful stories: her unfamiliarity with the Bush Doctrine during last Thursday’s interview with Charles Gibson … her refusal to cooperate with the Troopergate investigation; her repeated stretching of the truth on everything from earmarks to the Bridge to Nowhere to the amount of energy her state produces. That stuff has a way of inspiring disapproval and eroding one’s support. (Interestingly, Palin’s preparedness numbers–about 50 percent yes, 45 percent no–haven’t budged.)

Caveats apply, of course. This is one data set, not yet a trend, but it could be a glimpse into future direction, especially if McCain and Palin continue to shred the credibility of their ticket by persistently lying about themselves, each other and their opponents.

There is a precedent for a precipitous slide, however. In 1984, the only other time a woman was named to a major party ticket, Democrats Walter Mondale and Geraldine Ferraro received a nine-point bounce after their convention, but Ronald Reagan, the incumbent, went on to win in a 49-state landslide, receiving 58.8 percent to Mondale-Ferraro’s 40.6 percent in the national popular vote.

Admittedly, any comparison between Republicans McCain-Palin and Democrats Mondale-Ferraro is superficial and, yes, sexist, especially because it is unclear, particularly from this poll, what role, if any, gender may be playing in Palin’s nosedive.

In 1984, Ferraro was undermined by questions about her husband’s business dealings, and her ticket’s opponent, Reagan, was still popular, in part because the economy had weathered the recession in 1982, and his administration’s illegal deals with terrorists in the Iran-Contra affair did not occur until the following year, and weren’t revealed until 1986.

The problems facing McCain and Palin today are primarily of their own making. Both have been caught lying on issues big and small. And there are serious questions even from conservatives about the readiness of Palin — the short-term governor of Alaska, the 47th largest state; a former beauty pageant Miss Congeniality winner; and sportscaster — to become president, if McCain, who is 72 years old, were unable to fulfill his term.

Ht: “Countdown”


  • calgal
    September 16, 2008 - 8:30 pm | Permalink


  • September 17, 2008 - 6:40 am | Permalink


  • Bob Hannan
    September 17, 2008 - 6:53 am | Permalink

    Yodelay – hee- hooooo

  • neville
    September 17, 2008 - 7:15 am | Permalink

    This are some to the most enlightening comments I have every read. To which I can only add

    Yabba dabba doooooooo!

  • Jack Ballinger
    September 17, 2008 - 7:22 am | Permalink

    As much as I wish this was all due to the American public cracking the books/newspapers about Palin, I suspect that Tina Fey should get credit for a good portion of Sarah’s drop.
    On TV and on the ‘Net, her parody has been seen by millions – millions who don’t read Time/Newsweek, or Pensito Review or the Daily Kos.

    Millions who take their cue from the last shiny thing that caught their [rather limited] attention.

    But I’m sure happy the numbers for her are falling. America needs Obama.

  • Emily
    September 17, 2008 - 7:40 am | Permalink

    The people are waking up to what this woman is really all about. What’s new is old again. Ahh, the fickleness of the American electorate!

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  • September 17, 2008 - 8:46 am | Permalink

    Think Sarah Pa;in’s rating are falling now? Wait till the full impact of the ‘Troopergate’ Scandal sinks in.


  • Blueneck
    September 17, 2008 - 8:58 am | Permalink

    The McCain campaign is im-Palin itself.

  • Rick
    September 17, 2008 - 9:03 am | Permalink

    Gee, Sarah Palin endures the worst inquisition in the history of American politics and she’s still polling over 52% positive?

    I think it proves that the press has become less effective, the trust is gone and people aren’t buying the same old spin. I’d say that’s a pretty good thing.

    Face it folks, I don’t know how you did it but the Democrats managed to screw up another presidential election, again ;

  • September 17, 2008 - 9:23 am | Permalink

    In response to the first four comments:

    Yee hah!



  • September 17, 2008 - 9:54 am | Permalink

    The worst inquisition in American politics? What she’s gone through is a walk in the park compared with the proctological exam given the Clintons, their family, friends and even their cat.

    Palin has been on the scene now since the first of the month, and she has given one (1) interview. That is unprecedented. By comparison, Dan Quayle, the last least qualified VP candidate, gave lots of interviews during his first two weeks on the ticket.

    It can only mean one thing: her handlers fear she’ll screw up. If she’s not ready to be interviewed by a soft-baller like Larry King, how’s she gonna do with Putin, if Grampy were to choke to death eating an apple next January?

  • jethrow
    September 17, 2008 - 10:15 am | Permalink

    You forgot to mention what they did to Presidential nominee Kerry! And that guy name Newt from Georgia who was having an affair while he was perscuting Clinton. How about the sneaky Obama smears that are going on now…They can throw the ball…they just can’t catch those Neocons who have corrupted the USA and turned the world against us! Ask her the hard questions…if she can’t stand the heat like Truman said, “Let hergo home, perscute folks, and hunt moose!” Jethrow

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  • Lance
    September 17, 2008 - 11:41 am | Permalink

    Thank heaven, thank heaven thank heaven.

    This Palin woman scares me witless, not because I think she’ll help John McCain win, but because she’ll probably start WWIII with Russia should she ever get her finger on the button.

    She’s a big fan of the end times, and has said that the environment doesn’t matter because Jesus will be back soon anyway.

    She’s going to be reading Book of Revelations and using it to figure out whom to be nuking if Grandpa McCain keels over.

    Wake up America!!!

  • Dan
    September 17, 2008 - 2:00 pm | Permalink

    Amazing can you imagine what would happen if Joe Biden would die while as Vice President, we would be in the hands of a totally inexperienced Junior Senator with an appaling voting record and a 20 year association with a Church ran by a Racist Bigot

  • Bullwinkle J. Moose
    September 17, 2008 - 2:35 pm | Permalink


  • sam
    September 17, 2008 - 8:05 pm | Permalink

    Most Americans are stupid and will probably elect McCain. He will talk about how dangerous the world is and will remind voters that he IS the #1 POW. The rest of the world will laugh at this McCain-Palin ticket.

  • steverino
    September 18, 2008 - 12:35 am | Permalink

    In a nutshell, our country is in a bad way. In these times, do you want someone with 18 months experience, never having to make a major decision in his life ?? NOT THE TIME TO EXPERIMENT on a novice. There’s nothing there except same old tired rhetoric and bashing his opponent. His VP hates WOMEN. NOT THE TIME TO EXPERIMENT AMERICA

  • Madison
    September 18, 2008 - 9:52 am | Permalink

    So, Steverino, we should stick with the McSame guy — “Bush 44” — who got us in this mess? That is literally insane, since the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over but expecting different results.

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  • Mike
    September 19, 2008 - 10:17 pm | Permalink

    As a non-american citizen, I have to say, that Palin is the wierdest person I’ve ever seen. Her ideologies are ridiculous. On behalf of the world, PLEASE elect Obama, and kick these republicans and thier ideoligies out on their can. They have ruined America, and the world allies of America are heart broken with whats happened to the people. The world needs America strong. The Mccain palin ticket and the straight talk express have been dishonest and sleazy, with serious problems of power abuse (troopergate)….Sounds kind of like the Bush admin doesn’t it? America, do yourselves a favour and bring the democrats back.

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  • Truth Above All
    September 24, 2008 - 12:14 pm | Permalink

    Welcome to the real vetting process Gov Palin. I wouldn’t leave your current job just yet!!!!

  • dee
    September 28, 2008 - 11:07 am | Permalink

    Palin is a joke! I hope people wake up to see this. They are using each other to get elected. They are not concerned about their inability to be the best for the country but to only hold the title of VP and President. McCain is old and he wants this as his legacy. Palin is ambitious at any costs. She just wants the power and the title. She doesn’t know squat about anything except providing scripted answers. She is a hot head waiting to explode. Believe me if I though they were so great I would vote but they are not.

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