Pensito Review: Politics and Media Pensito Review: Politics and Media
January 8, 2009
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Poll: Obama Is Tied with McCain in NC - Without Support of 20% of Tar Heel Dems

As an expatriated North Carolinian, this is both heartening and discouraging — in other words, normal for Tar Heel politics:
If Obama gained support of just 6% of these North Carolina Dems, he would be leading in current state polls.

In North Carolina, Public Policy has Obama pulling into a tie with McCain (they had McCain up 4 percent last week) while Rasmussen has McCain’s lead down to just 3 percent (they had McCain up 6 percent last month). Some figured that North Carolina was off the table once McCain picked Palin, but that is clearly not the case.

The Public Policy poll is the first one to show Obama tied in the state since April. Public Policy also has Bob Barr doing relatively well in North Carolina, getting 5percent of the vote. They are attributing Obama’s improvement in the state to economic concerns.

One major potential sign for concern for McCain is that both of these polls have Obama getting less than 80 percent of the Democratic vote. If he improves his support among Democrats by just 6 percent or so, he would be leading both of these polls. Obama has yet to lead in any North Carolina poll. This certainly explains why McCain is now shifting resources into North Carolina, as the state is very much in play.

A recent CNN poll suggested “that 40 percent of white Americans hold at least a partly negative view toward blacks, including more than a third of white Democrats and independents. A small percentage of voters — 2.5 percent of those surveyed — said they may turn away from Obama because of his race.”

COMMENTS
One Comment on "Poll: Obama Is Tied with McCain in NC - Without Support of 20% of Tar Heel Dems"

Well maybe if the media stops feeding them this tired meme about a Bradley Effect as if that explains everything and makes it alright then maybe they would wake up and see the light. Which is that every other white person in America is voting for Obama. So what’s wrong with them?. Obama leads in demographics even more than Bush did among white females and many white male groups such as independents and younger voters.

Here’s an ABC/Post poll. Hardly the purveyor of liberal leaning media.

Among likely voters!
Obama: 52% (47%)
McCain: 43% (49%)

Do More to Bring Change:
Obama 58%
McCain 33%

More Honest and Trustworthy:
Obama: 47%
McCain: 36%

Stronger Leader:
Obama: 47%
McCain: 46%

Understands Economic Problems:
Obama: 57%
McCain: 33%

And in what may give Cokie Roberts pause in her punditry, look at white women:
Obama: 49% (43%)
McCain: 47% (54%)

More swing groups!!!

White Catholics:
Obama 47% (38%)
McCain 46% (57%)

Independents:
Obama: 53% (42%)
McCain: 39% (52%)

Married Women:
Obama: 51% (42%)
McCain: 46% (53%)

McCain has officially lost his “so called base”. So white people in NC wake up. Plenty of your fellow white folks are so over that race game. It is 2008 not 1988 or whenever this Bradley effect was supposed to have occurred.


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