Gallup Internals Show Obama Up by 4-Plus Points in the Northeast, Midwest and West – But Down by 22 Points in the Old Confederacy


Ezra Klein at the Washington Post Wonkblog published the chart above. It explains why Romney is leading President Obama by a whopping 7 percentage points in the current Gallup daily tracking poll. Klein also says it suggests that Obama could well win decisively in the Electoral College but lose just as decisively in the popular vote — a much more lopsided (not to mention legitimate) version of what happened in 2000, when George W. Bush was awarded Florida’s Electoral College votes by Republicans on the Supreme Court, while Al Gore won the popular ballot by over 500,000 votes.

(It also happened in 1876, when Republican Rutherford B. Hayes won in the Electoral College but lost to his Democratic opponent, Samuel Tilden, by 300,000 votes; and in 1888, when Republican Benjamin Harrison won in the Electoral College but lost the popular vote to Democrat Grover Cleveland, by about 100,000 votes.)

Klein does not go there, but what screams out about this breakout is that the United States’ first African-American president is ahead by what might be called a “normal” majority — an average of 4.6 percentage points — in every region of the country, except for the states of the Old Confederacy, where he is behind by an insurmountable 22 points.

Let’s stipulate that racism exists in every state, city, town and neighborhood in this country, but, on its face, this poll breakout, if it proves to be accurate, means that either Southern Republicans are more easily swayed by the lies about the president — that he is a socialist/communist, etc. — promulgated by Fox News and the rest of the GOP propaganda apparatus; or that Southern Republicans are still so deeply invested in their racism that they simply cannot live in a world in which the president of the United States is black, even if it means voting for a lying sociopathic Yankee oligarch who will ship their jobs overseas, voucherize their Medicare, privatize their Social Security and the rest; or both.


  • dam spahn
    October 19, 2012 - 7:22 am | Permalink

    So the Confederates like a slick, northern, carpetbagging, vulture capitalist with an elevator for his cars paid for by exporting jobs to China. Smart.

  • MikeG
    October 21, 2012 - 5:50 am | Permalink

    The article was fairly believable until Jon Ponder suddenly vomitted up all his left wing bile in the last paragraph.
    Take some more tablets Jon and learn to lose gracefully.

  • Madison
    October 21, 2012 - 6:16 am | Permalink

    Truth hurts, huh, MikeG.

  • Ann
    October 21, 2012 - 2:05 pm | Permalink

    Southerners gotta to love ’em. Even middle age peasant hang their heads in shame against these fools.

    Philistine paradise

  • Brendanyc
    October 25, 2012 - 4:27 pm | Permalink

    Mike, the article demonstrates that O will probably WIN the presidency despite the popular vote deficit in the south. so why would you think Jon –that is, not you yourself–has to learn to lose gracefully?
    i would not be happy if the Pres had to win this way, but i’d take it. Just as the Republicans took the Presidency when Gore got more votes. And by the way,no one tried to impeach W either. His win was simply respected (even if resented.)

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