Category Archives: Enumerati

Graham Says One in Three Chance Trump Will Attack North Korea

30%

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) told The Atlantic that there’s a 30% chance that President Trump initiates war against North Korea. Said Graham: “I would say there’s a three in 10 chance we use the military option.” He added that if the North Koreans conduct an additional test of a nuclear bomb — “I would say 70 percent.”

Voters Will Hold Candidates Responsible for Tax Plan

55% to 26%

A new Quinnipiac poll finds American voters disapprove of the pending Republican tax plan by a wide margin, 55% to 26%, and 43% say they are less likely to vote for a U.S. Senator or Congressperson who supports the plan. Key finding: “Only 16% of American voters say the tax plan will reduce their taxes, while 44% say it will increase their taxes and 30% say the tax plan will have little impact.”

Alabama’s Turning Purple

50% to 45%

Alan Abramowitz: “When Alabama voters were asked which party they would prefer to control the Senate, 50% chose Republicans while 45% chose Democrats. That is a stunning result — perhaps even more stunning than Jones’s victory. Moreover, only 43% had a favorable opinion of the Republican Party while 47% had a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party.”

Trump Approval Approaches 30%

32% to 56%

A new Monmouth poll finds President Trump’s job approval at 32% to 56%, the lowest since he’s taken office. The decline in Trump’s job rating has come much more from women, currently 24% to 68%, than from men, which is 40% to 44%. Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by 15 percentage points, 51% to 36%.

Alabama Cities and ‘Burbs Rejected Moore

68%

New York Times: “Voters in Alabama’s cities and most affluent suburbs overwhelmingly rejected Mr. Moore’s candidacy, an ominous sign for Republicans on the ballot next year in upscale districts. In Jefferson County, which includes Birmingham and some of the state’s wealthiest enclaves, Mr. Jones, the Democratic candidate, captured more than 68% of the vote. And in Madison County, home to Huntsville and a large NASA facility, Mr. Jones won 57 percent of the vote.”

Nearly Half of Voters Oppose GOP Tax Plan

48%

A new USA Today/Suffolk University Poll finds just 32% support the GOP tax plan while 48% oppose it. Key finding: “That’s the lowest level of public support for any major piece of legislation enacted in the past three decades, including the Affordable Care Act in 2009.”

Big Decline in Voters Identifying as Republican

5 points

NBC News: “From November 2016 to November 2017 there was a 5-point drop in the number of people who call themselves Republicans, from 42% to 37%, according to Gallup. In that same time, the number of people identifying as Democrats stayed flat at 44%. … Do the math and a 2-point edge for the Democrats in party identification, 44% to 42%, has been pushed to 7 points, 44% to 37%, in just one year. That’s getting up into the area that may be a concern for Republicans in the 2018 midterms, where a big swing in party allegiance could lead to a swing in House and Senate seats.”

Nearly 400 Women Set to Run for Congress

369

“As of December 7 there were 369 women running or planning to run for Congress in 2018, according to Rutgers University’s Center for American Women and Politics, which would be the most women House candidates ever,” Axios reports. “The number is subject to change, as the filing deadlines for most states are months away.”

Trump Lies More than Most People — and Half Are Hurtful, Disparaging Lies

50%

Bella DePaulo: “I spent the first two decades of my career as a social scientist studying liars and their lies. I thought I had developed a sense of what to expect from them. Then along came President Trump. His lies are both more frequent and more malicious than ordinary people’s. … Trump told 6.6 times as many self-serving lies as kind ones. That’s a much higher ratio than we found for our study participants, who told about double the number of self-centered lies compared with kind ones. … The most stunning way Trump’s lies differed from our participants’, though, was in their cruelty. An astonishing 50 percent of Trump’s lies were hurtful or disparaging.”

New Low for Trump Approval

32%

A new Pew Research survey finds that just 32% of the public approves of the way President Trump is handling his job — a new low — while 63% disapprove.