Tag Archives: Campaign 2018

Enumerati

Race to Replace Issa Is Nation’s Most Expensive House Contest So Far

$14.9 million

“The 16-candidate free-for-all to replace Congress’ wealthiest member, retiring Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA), has become the most expensive House of Representatives race in the nation, with a combined $14.9 million spent by candidates and outside groups,” the Orange County Register reports.

Enumerati

O’Rourke Has a Hot Fundraising Quarter

$6.7 million

Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-TX) raised over $6.7 million for his U.S. Senate bid in the first quarter of 2018, “a staggering number that poses a new category of threat” to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), the Texas Tribune reports. “The haul is easily O’Rourke’s biggest fundraising quarter yet, more than double his next-closest total for a three-month period. It also is more than any Democratic Senate candidate nationwide took in last quarter, O’Rourke’s campaign said.” And that’s without taking any PAC money.

Enumerati

Third of GOP Congressional Race Ads Target Pelosi

34%

USA Today: “The House Democratic leader has been featured in roughly one-third (34%) of all GOP broadcast ads aired in House races this year… That compares with 9% in all of 2016 and 13% in 2014.”

News & Comment

Finally – a Pollster Asks How the Majority of 2016 Voters View the Political Scene

logo-pppOn Dec. 21, Public Policy Polling sent out a series of tweets with results from recent polling of normal American voters. As the pollster put it, “We know people get sick of hearing what Trump voters think about things, so here's a thread on what supporters of the popular vote winner think about things…”

Here’s what PPP found in its poll of people who voted for the candidate who won the most votes in the 2016 election:

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News & Comment

Poll: Rep. Darrell Issa Down by 10

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Verbatim

Cook: Signs Look Good for a Wave Election in ’18

“Since In­aug­ur­a­tion Day, Pres­id­ent Trump has had the low­est job-ap­prov­al rat­ings of any newly elec­ted pres­id­ent since the first ‘sci­en­tific­ally based’ poll by George Gal­lup in 1936. More than any­thing else, midterm elec­tions are ref­er­enda on the in­cum­bent pres­id­ent. Ob­vi­ously no one knows what is go­ing to hap­pen in next year’s midterm elec­tions, but ana­lysts who have watched con­gres­sion­al elec­tions for a long time are see­ing signs that 2018 could be a wave elec­tion that flips con­trol of the House to Demo­crats.”

Charlie Cook

Enumerati

Many Lawmakers on Dem Target List Voted for rumpcare

45

Of the 58 Republican lawmakers on the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s target list put out earlier this year, 45 of them voted in favor of the GOP health care bill while just 13 voted against it.

Enumerati

Dems Lead by Nine Points in Generic Ballot

50%

A new CNN/ORC poll finds 50% of American voters would vote for the Democratic candidate for Congress while 41% would choose the Republican candidate if the election were held today. “A lead that large, this far out, is not necessarily predictive, however — although it approaches the edge Democrats held early on in the 2006 election cycle when they won control of the House, it is also similar to their advantage early on in the 2010 cycle, which ended with a Republican takeover of the chamber.”

Enumerati

Dems Have Big Enthusiasm Lead Going Into 2018

63% to 52%

A new Public Policy Polling survey finds “63% of Democrats say they’re ‘very excited’ about voting in the 2018 election, compared to only 52% of Republicans who express that sentiment. When you look at the 2018 House picture just among the voters most excited about turning out next year, the lead for Democrats grows to 19 points at 57-38. Republican leaning voters are comparatively disengaged, with the GOP holding advantages only among voters who are ‘somewhat excited’ (48-40) and ‘not that excited’ (46-31).”

Enumerati

It’s Pay It Forward Time for Ryan — with Campaign Cash

$1.2 million

Speaker Paul Ryan “is distributing $1.2 million from his personal political accounts to roughly half the House Republican Conference today,” according to Playbook.