No Matter Who Wins, Both Political Parties Are Going Extinct

Whichever side emerges victorious, both Republicans and Democrats should face up to a much bigger truth: Neither party as currently constituted has a real future. Fewer and fewer Americans identify as either Republican or Democratic according to Gallup, and both parties are at recent or all-time lows when it comes to approval ratings. Just 39 percent give Democrats a favorable rating and just 33 percent do the same for Republicans. Not coincidentally, each party has also recently had a clear shot at implementing its vision of the good society. If you want to drive down your adversary’s approval rating, just give him the reins of power for a few years.

— Nick Gillespie, writing in the Daily Beast.

Deficit Drops to Lowest Level Since Before the 2008 Financial Crash
- Part of the Obama Recovery Project series

Bloomberg: OBAMA RECOVERY PROJECT Part of an ongoing series on the economic recovery in 2014 and 2015. For more articles on the Obama Recovery, CLICK HERE. The budget deficit in the U.S. shrank in the last fiscal year to the lowest level as a share of the economy since 2007 as faster growth and falling unemployment […]

Democrats Starting to Manage Midterm Expectations

The first thing I see every morning when my eyes flutter open is 29 — which is the average loss to a president’s party in a second midterm. We never assumed the best, we prepared for the worst.

— Rep. Steve Israel (D-NY), head of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, managing midterm election expectations in a NBC News interview.

Forecast Predicts Democrats Likely to Hold the Senate

70%

The probability of Democrats retaining control of the upper chamber, according to Sam Wang’s updated Senate forecast. One reason his forecast is more favorable to Democrats than others is that he’s relying more on actual polls than so-called “fundamentals.”

Obama Gets Frustrated by Democrats

There are times where Democrats drive me nuts.

— President Obama, quoted bu the Washington Examiner, at a fundraiser on Martha’s Vineyard.

Democrats Still Seen More Favorably than Republicans

44%

Of Americans see the Democratic Party more favorably than the Republican Party (34%), but both parties are “upside down” in net favorability, according to Gallup.

There’s a Campaign to Convince Hillary to Campaign

We think what we’re seeing is an elaborate campaign, directed by Hillary, to lock down the 2016 nomination and solidify her image as a leader. But in reality, this isn’t emanating from Clinton, and it has nothing to do with voters. What we’re really looking at is a campaign orchestrated by nervous Democrats and aimed at persuading Clinton herself.

— Matt Bai, writing for Yahoo News.

Republicans Never Saw This Coming: Sen. Kay Hagan Owns Her Support for Obamacare

You know what’s at stake. Only six wins this fall for Republicans leaves them to rule the Senate. If that happens, House-passed bills outlawing contraception and abortion, promoting guns, and cutting food stamps even for children will be the law of the land. And those 50 votes to defund and rescind Obamacare? Done deal. That’s […]

The Math is Not on Our Side in November

81%

Republicans who say they will definitely vote in the mid-term elections in November, according to a CBS News poll. Only 68% of Democrats in the survey said the same.

Carville Hoping for ‘Political Climate Change’ Before November

If the election were held in the current climate, it wouldn’t be hard to argue that the Democrats might have a bad, perhaps even awful, election ahead of them. However, the one thing we know is that it is not going to be held now — it is going to be held in November. This is a case where we don’t know if there is going to be a political climate change or not. Suffice to say, I am pulling for some political climate change.

— James Carville, in a column in The Hill, on the 2014 midterms.