Tag Archives: Election 2020


Ryan: If Campaign Is About Trump’s Personality, He’ll Lose

“The person who defines that race is going to win the race. If this is about Donald Trump and his personality, he isn’t going to win it.”

— Former Speaker Paul Ryan, quoted by TCPalm. On the 2020 presidential race.


Trump in Trouble in Florida


A new Bendixen & Amandi International poll in Florida finds just 40% of voters said they believed President Trump should be reelected, while 53% were opposed to a second term.


‘Somone Else’ Would Beat Trump in Texas


A new University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll finds a slight majority of Texas voters would choose someone other than Donald Trump in a presidential race held right now. “While 45% said they would ‘definitely vote for someone else,’ 39% said they would ‘definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump.’ But the president got 10% who said they would ‘probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump,’ and only 6% said they would ‘probably vote for someone else.’ … If you count the leaners on both sides, that would be a virtual tie between Trump and an unnamed opponent.”


Majority Says It’s Time for a New President


A new Monmouth poll finds just 38% of registered voters think that President Trump should be re-elected in 2020. A majority of 57% say it is time for someone new in the Oval Office. The party breakdown: 79% of Republicans back a second term for the president while 94% of Democrats say it is time for someone new. Meanwhile, 55% of independent voters want a change while 39% support the incumbent. Interestingly, 43% of Republican voters and independents who lean Republican would like to see Trump face a primary challenge.


Buttigieg Admits He’s a Long Shot for Prez

“I get the audacity of somebody like me talking about running for this office, but frankly it’s a leap for anybody.”

— South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, in an interview with ABC News, on running for president.


2020 Electorate Will Be Most Diverse Ever


Pew Research: “While demographic changes unfold slowly, it’s already clear that the 2020 electorate will be unique in several ways. Nonwhites will account for a third of eligible voters – their largest share ever – driven by long-term increases among certain groups, especially Hispanics. … At the same time, one-in-ten eligible voters will be members of Generation Z, the Americans who will be between the ages 18 and 23 next year. That will occur as Millennials and all other older generations account for a smaller share of eligible voters than they did in 2016.”


Most Say They Would Not Vote for Trump


A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds 56% of all Americans say they would “definitely not vote for him” should President Trump become the Republican nominee, while 14% say they would consider voting for him and 28% would definitely vote for him. Majorities of independents (59%), women (64%) and suburbanites (56%) rule out supporting Trump for a second term.


Howard Schultz Faces Resistance from … Everywhere

“Don’t help elect Trump, you egotistical billionaire asshole.”

— A heckler at Howard Schultz’s first stop on his national book tour.


Floridians Split on Trump Re-Election

46% to 45%

A new Mason-Dixon poll in Florida finds voters are nearly evenly divided on if President Trump should be re-elected, with 46% saying he should be replaced, 45% saying he should be re-elected and the remainder unsure.


Preliminary Numbers Favor Democrats to Retain House in 2020


Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Democrats start the cycle favored to hold the House majority, but a GOP presidential victory would open the door to Republicans restoring total control of Washington. … Overall, roughly equal numbers of Democratic (47) and Republican (46) districts begin the cycle listed in our ratings in the Toss-up, Leans, and Likely categories. That means that more than three of every four House districts (79%) begin the cycle as rated Safe for the incumbent party.”