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Enumerati
30%
Nearly 70% of economists responding to Reuters poll said the latest developments had brought the next U.S. recession closer.The chances of a U.S. recession in the coming 12 months rose to 30% from 25% in the July poll. The median probability of a recession in the next two years jumped to 45% from July’s 35%.
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Enumerati
28%
A new Monmouth poll in Iowa finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic field with 28%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 19%, Kamala Harris at 11%, Bernie Sanders at 9% and Pete Buttigieg at 8%. Other candidates who register at least 2% in the poll include Amy Klobuchar at 3%, Tom Steyer at 3%, Kirsten Gillibrand at 2% and Andrew Yang at 2%. The remaining 15 candidates included in the poll each earn 1% or less. Of particular note, Beto O’Rourke, who had 6% support in April, registers less than 1% in the current poll.
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Enumerati
61%
A new Franklin & Marshall poll in Pennsylvania finds 38% of registered voters believes President Trump has done a good enough job to deserve reelection, while 61% voters say it is time for a change.
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Enumerati
$5.2 billion
President Trump’s new Air Force One fleet will cost a total of $5.2 billion, up from the 2016 estimate of $3.2 billion, Air Force Magazine reports. In early 2017, President Trump claimed he negotiated with Boeing to lower the price by about $1 billion.
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Enumerati
18 points
Stanley Greenberg: “The press dutifully reports that President Trump has the approval of 85% of Republicans, and this poll shows he has 87%. But that is not the same as enthusiasm, and on that Democrats have a big gap: a stunning 85% strongly disapprove; while 67% of Republicans strongly approve. That is an 18 point enthusiasm gap. (And we know from 2018, it was the less enthusiastic Republicans who did not vote or shifted to the Democrats.) This gap is twice the enthusiasm gap on the president that gave the Democrats such a victory in 2018.”
Poetic Justice
After two more mass shootings, Trump seeks to lay blame,
And he doesn’t like “white nationalist” attached to his name.
Seeking to find fault,
Trump opens his shibboleth vault,
And trots out mental illness, the internet and video games.
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Verbatim
“Racism is the fire that left our country horribly disfigured. It is the beast we try to keep locked in the basement. When the president of the United States plays with that fire or takes that beast out for a walk, it is not just another political event, not just a normal day in campaign 2020. It is a cause for shame.”
— Michael Gerson
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Verbatim
“I can tell you that there is no political appetite for that at this moment.”
— President Trump, quoted by Reuters, dismissing legislative proposals to ban assault weapons.
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Verbatim
“I think my rhetoric brings people together. Our country is doing really well.”
— President Trump, quoted by The Hill, before leaving the White House to visit two cities that experienced mass shootings last weekend.
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Verbatim
“It’s almost funny, in a twisted sort of way. Election after election, Republicans have based their core political appeal on fear. … And yet — as dual gun massacres this weekend starkly illustrate — they refuse to offer solutions to any of the mortal threats Americans actually face.”
— Catherine Rampell
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Verbatim
“Republicans will say privately that they know they are on the wrong side of contemporary political thinking — and reality — when it comes to gun policy. Many of them will say off the record or on background that they could get away with supporting banning assault weapons, banning high-capacity magazines and tightening background checks. But they need Trump to embrace these ideas as well — and consistently. The president tends to pop his head up, support something and then retreat.”
— Playbook
Infografix
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