Tag Archives: Polls

Verbatim

Do Republicans Know Something We Don’t?

“The GOP is behaving like a party that isn’t worried about ever winning another fair election.”

— Ana Marie Cox, host of the Crooked Media podcast, With Friends Like These. Cox notes that Republican disregard for constituent concern about health insurance signals that the GOP feels it might no longer be dependent on fair voting. The assertion comes after the loss on electronic voting machines of the Georgia District 6 congressional race by Democrat Jon Ossoff, despite leading in pre-race polls and early voting conducted on paper ballots.

News & Comment

Quinnipiac Finds Donald’s Approval at 36%, Sees Signs of Erosion of Support Among His Base Voters

chart-quinnipiac-trump-approval-36-percent

Reality may be started to permeate the Fox bubble. The new Quinnipiac Poll has Donald’s approval at 36 percent, which is in the range where former Pres. George W. Bush’s approval rating sank and then stalled for the last three years of his second term — making him the most unpopular president in the history of presidential polling.

Donald Trump appears to be giving Bush a run for his money.

The signal that reality is setting in — that Trump voters may finally be starting to realize that they’ve been had — is in the internals. In particular, Donald has seen a ten-point drop in support among white voters with no college degrees, from 57 percent in April to 47 percent now.

According to Quinnipiac, support for Donald is also eroding among independent voters and white men:

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Enumerati

Donald’s Approval Rating Drops to Bush Levels in Right-Wing IBD/TIPP Poll

34%

Donald Trump’s approval rating according to the IDB/TIPP poll from Investor’s Business Daily, a right-wing news outlet. IBD notes that Donald’s approval rating is “a low not seen since the last months of the Bush presidency” — a reference to GOP former Pres. George W. Bush, the most unpopular president in presidential-polling history.

News & Comment

Poll: No Consequences for Those Who Vote to Repeal Obamacare

UrbanInstChart
The redistribution of wealth is the most stunning aspect of the Republican plan.

A new poll shows Americans oppose repealing Obamacare by only three to one. This should come as welcome news to Republicans poised to back the Trumpcare bill. The vote, at press time, was set for just before the north and south poles flip and our robot overlords take power, according to the official Congressional schedule.

Unfortunately, there actually is welcome news for Republicans in the survey, which was conducted by Quinnipiac University. About half of those responding essentially said a yes vote would have no political impact for elected officials, since it either makes those polled more likely to support that person for re-election (19 percent) or would have no effect on their vote (29 percent).

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Enumerati

Voters: Trump’s an Embarrassment

6 in 10

A majority of voters – nearly six in 10 – say Trump’s conduct as president makes them feel embarrassed, according to a new McClatchy-Marist poll. More than half of voters believe President Trump has done something illegal or unethical as he faces potential conflicts of interest by continuing to own his businesses while serving as president.

Enumerati

Final Polls Show Clinton Has Lead

45% to 40%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump nationally, accoring to the final NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, with Johnson at 6% and Stein at 2%. The final Politico/Morning Consult poll shows Clinton leading Trump by three points nationally, 45% to 42%, with Johnson at 8% and Stein at 4%.

News & Comment

What Does Surprise Winner in Bloomberg News Poll Portend for 2020?

The winner of the latest Bloomberg News poll
The winner of the latest Bloomberg News poll

The results of a new Bloomberg News poll in Florida show the winner is…Michelle Obama!

The First Lady’s net favorability score — 57 — was higher than the other ten people in the poll, all of whom are, were, or want to be, elected officials.

Here are the actual numbers, from lowest net favorables to highest:

Patrick Murphy, candidate for the Florida U.S. Senate seat currently held by Marco Rubio — 38
Tim Kaine, Democratic VP nomineeand Virginia senator — 39
Hillary Clinton — 44
Donald Trump — 46
Rick Scott, Florida governor — 47
Bill Clinton, former president — 47
Marco Rubio, Florida senator — 50
Mike Pence, Republican VP nominee and Indiana governor — 51
Barack Obama, president — 51
Joe Biden, vice president — 54

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Enumerati

Clinton Opens Up a Nine-Point National Lead

45% to 36%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump nationally, with Gary Johnson at 11%, according to a new Fairleigh Dickenson Public Mind poll finds. Said pollster Krista Jenkins: “The post-presidential debate landscape is clearly favoring Clinton. Trump’s continued weight shaming of a former Miss Universe and the weekend disclosure of his 1995 tax returns are but a sample of difficult news coverage for the Republican candidate.”

Enumerati

Clinton Has Five-Point National Lead

5

A new Fox News poll finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump nationally among likely voters by five points, 49% to 44%. A week ago, Trump led by one point.

Enumerati

If the Election Were Held Today …

95%

If the presidential election were held today, Clinton would win the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project. It also says that Clinton has a 95 percent chance of beating Trump. That’s out in front of most probability indicators. (Predictwise: 79 percent. FiveThirtyEight: 84.4 percent.)