Trump Leads in Polls, but Not Popularity

Despite what you may have read elsewhere — or heard from the man himself — Donald Trump is not all that popular with Republican voters. Sure, he’s in first place in many polls. But Trump is near the back of the pack by another important measure… Trump’s favorability ratings among Republicans are barely better than break-even: 47 percent favorable and 43 percent unfavorable. Among the 17 Republican candidates, Trump’s net favorable rating, +4, ranks 13th, ahead of only Chris Christie, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki. … And yet, in these same polls, Trump is the first choice of an average of 20 percent of Republican voters — the highest in the field, ahead of Scott Walker (14 percent) and Jeb Bush (12 percent).

— Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.

Jeb ‘Looks Weaker And Weaker’
He's accused of funding violations and could face email and foundation scandals - but, not to worry, the D.C. media elites always have the Bushes' backs

The Cook Political Report represents the gold standard in political polling and prognosticating. When Charlie Cook or his lieutenants cite a trend, you can take it to the bank. This week one of Cook’s top experts, Amy Walters, published an analysis of Jeb Bush’s all-but-announced presidential campaign that is likely sounding alarms throughout the Republican […]

Clinton Continues to Enjoy a Strong Lead Over Democratic Rivals

63%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Democratic challengers, according to a new Public Policy Polling national survey. The poll finds 13% for Bernie Sanders, 6% for Jim Webb, 5% for Lincoln Chafee and 2% for Martin O’Malley.

Walker Still Leads GOP Race Nationally

18%

Scott Walker’s lead over the GOP presidential field, according to a new Public Policy Polling national survey. “… but it’s tightly clustered and his support has actually dropped two consecutive surveys now, with 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% each for Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ted Cruz, 9% for Rand Paul, 5% for Chris Christie, and 2% for Rick Perry. This is the third national poll in a row where we’ve found Walker ahead but he was at 25% in late February and declined to 20% and now 18% on the two subsequent surveys.”

Obama Approval up to 50%

50%

Pres. Obama’s approval rating, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Analysts say the renewed support is largely based on improving economic news. It’s also likely he has rallied his base, especially Latinos, with a series of bold initiatives announced over the past few months.

Kaiser Poll: Republicans Love Obamacare
The individual mandate, which was created by the GOP, is still unpopular - especially with Republicans
Polls Skewed Toward Democrats

4 percentage points

Amount the average Senate poll conducted in the final three weeks of this year’s campaign overestimated the Democrat’s performance, according to Nate Silver. The average gubernatorial poll was just as bad, also overestimating the Democrat’s performance by 4 points.

Sure, Obama’s Approval Rate Is Down in NC, But GOP Senate Candidate Thom Tillis’ Is Only 1 Point Higher

42% – 43%

Approval ratings in North Carolina of Pres. Obama and GOP candidate for the U.S. Senate Thom Tillis, respectively, according to a poll released Oct. 31 by CNN/ORC International. The poll found a 49-48 percent favorable/unfavorable rating for Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan, the incumbent. The unfavorable rating for Tillis, who is also assembly leader, was 50 percent. Hagan holds a slight lead over Tillis, 48-46 percent, in the poll.

Poll: 61% Express Confidence in Govt Efforts to Fight Spread of Ebola

61%

Percentage of Americans polled by right-leaning Politico.com who expressed “a lot of confidence” or “some confidence” in the U.S. government’s handling of the spread of Ebola. Just 33 percent said they had “not much confidence” or “no confidence at all” that the government could stop the virus from spreading. Despite the positive result for the Obama administration, the headline on Politico’s story about the poll reads, “Democrats in Danger over Ebola.”

Obama’s Favorability at 49%, According to Daily Tracking Poll from GOP’s Rasmussen

49%

Pres. Obama’s approval rating according to the Daily Presidential Tracking Poll for October 15, 2014, from Rasmussen Reports, a Republican polling group. His disapproval rating is also 49%. That’s significantly better than his 42/52% rating in an NBC poll released this week.