Tag Archives: Polls


Trump Still Holds Huge Lead


Donald Trump’s lead in the GOP presidential race, followed by Ben Carson at 12%, Jeb Bush at 11%, Carly Fiorina at 6%, Ted Cruz at 5% and Marco Rubio at 5%, according to a new Morning Consult poll. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton for the first time has fallen below the 50% mark. She maintains a strong lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders — 49% to 28% — though her 21-point lead is at its lowest point since Morning Consult began surveying the Democratic field.


Clinton Has Worse Honesty Ratings than Trump in Three Key States


Number of key states where Hillary Clinton has worse honesty ratings than Donald Trump, with just 32% each finding her honest and trustworthy in Florida and Pennsylvania, and 34% in Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac poll.


Trump’s Lead Widens


Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP presidential race, followed by Jeb Bush at 13%, Ben Carson at 9%, Marco Rubio at 8%, Scott Walker at 8%, Rand Paul at 6%, Ted Cruz at 5%, Carly Fiorina at 5%, John Kasich at 5% and Mike Huckabee at 4%, a new CNN/ORC poll finds. Key finding: “Trump is the biggest gainer in the poll, up 6 points since July according to the first nationwide CNN/ORC poll since the top candidates debated in Cleveland on Aug. 6. Carson gained 5 points and Fiorina 4 points.”


Trump Widens Lead Over GOP Field


Donald Trump’s national lead over the GOP field — a more than 2-to-1 advantage over his nearest Republican rivals — Jeb Bush at 12% and Scott Walker at 11%, according to a new Monmouth poll, which is one of the polls that will be used to determine which candidates join Thursday’s debate.


Paul Attributes Trump’s Rise in Polls to ‘Loss of Sanity’

I think this is a temporary sort of loss of sanity, but we’re going to come back to our senses and look for someone serious to lead the country at some point.

— Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) is attributing GOP presidential rival Donald Trump’s rise in the polls to a momentary “loss of sanity,” The Hill reports.


Trump Leads in Polls, but Not Popularity

Despite what you may have read elsewhere — or heard from the man himself — Donald Trump is not all that popular with Republican voters. Sure, he’s in first place in many polls. But Trump is near the back of the pack by another important measure… Trump’s favorability ratings among Republicans are barely better than break-even: 47 percent favorable and 43 percent unfavorable. Among the 17 Republican candidates, Trump’s net favorable rating, +4, ranks 13th, ahead of only Chris Christie, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki. … And yet, in these same polls, Trump is the first choice of an average of 20 percent of Republican voters — the highest in the field, ahead of Scott Walker (14 percent) and Jeb Bush (12 percent).

— Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.

News & Comment

Jeb ‘Looks Weaker And Weaker’


The Cook Political Report represents the gold standard in political polling and prognosticating. When Charlie Cook or his lieutenants cite a trend, you can take it to the bank. This week one of Cook’s top experts, Amy Walters, published an analysis of Jeb Bush’s all-but-announced presidential campaign that is likely sounding alarms throughout the Republican Party’s establishment wing. The headline, written in neutral Cookspeak, says it all: “Jeb Goes from Fragile Frontrunner to Underdog.”

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Clinton Continues to Enjoy a Strong Lead Over Democratic Rivals


Hillary Clinton’s lead over Democratic challengers, according to a new Public Policy Polling national survey. The poll finds 13% for Bernie Sanders, 6% for Jim Webb, 5% for Lincoln Chafee and 2% for Martin O’Malley.


Walker Still Leads GOP Race Nationally


Scott Walker’s lead over the GOP presidential field, according to a new Public Policy Polling national survey. “… but it’s tightly clustered and his support has actually dropped two consecutive surveys now, with 13% for Marco Rubio, 12% each for Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Ted Cruz, 9% for Rand Paul, 5% for Chris Christie, and 2% for Rick Perry. This is the third national poll in a row where we’ve found Walker ahead but he was at 25% in late February and declined to 20% and now 18% on the two subsequent surveys.”


Obama Approval up to 50%


Pres. Obama’s approval rating, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Analysts say the renewed support is largely based on improving economic news. It’s also likely he has rallied his base, especially Latinos, with a series of bold initiatives announced over the past few months.