Tag Archives: Polls

Enumerati

Clinton Pulling Ahead in Key Battleground States

45% to 40%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump in a new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner poll. A new set of Wall Street Journal/NBC News polls shows Hillary Clinton leading in four key swing states: Colorado (43% to 35%), Florida (44% to 37%), North Carolina (44% to 38%) and Virginia (44% to 35%).

News & Comment

13 Percent Choose “Giant Meteor” Over Trump or Clinton

meteor

A recent Public Policy Poll gave respondents a way around either of the major parties’ presumptive nominees for president.

The third option offered over Donald Trump (R-Egomaniacal Nutjob) or Hillary Clinton (D-…well, you know) was Giant Meteor Hitting the Earth.

And Giant Meteor Hitting the Earth took 13 percent.

Here was the exact question:

If the choices for President were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, and a Giant Meteor hitting the earth which would you choose?

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Enumerati

Sanders Catches Clinton Nationally

50% to 48%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Bernie Sanders nationally in the Democratic presidential race, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. That’s down from Clinton’s nine-point advantage a month ago, 53% to 44%. The RealClearPolitics polling average shows Clinton’s lead at just 1.4%.

Enumerati

Majority of Voters Say America has ‘Lost Its Identity’

57%

Of all voters strongly agree or somewhat agree with the statement, “America has lost its identity,” according to a new Quinnipiac poll. Among all Republicans, 79% agree, while only 36% of Democrats agree. The highest level of agreement is expressed by GOP supporters of Donald Trump, as 85% agree. Also interesting: There is a wide partisan division among American voters on the statement, “The government has gone too far in assisting minority groups.” Agreement is 45% among all voters, 72% among all Republicans and 18% among Democrats. Agreement is highest among Trump backers — 80%.

Enumerati

GOP Prez Race Tightens Nationally

30%

Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP presidential field nationally, followed closely by Ted Cruz at 27%, John Kasich at 22% and Marco Rubio at 20%, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Also interesting is that Trump trails his rivals in hypothetical one-on-one match-ups: Cruz and Kasich best Trump by an identical 17 points, 57% to 40%, while Rubio beats Trump by 13 points, 56% to 43%.

Enumerati

Trump Falls Behind Cruz Nationally

28%

Ted Cruz’ lead in the national GOP horserace, followed by Trump at 26%, Marco Rubio at 17%, John Kasich at 11%, Ben Carson at 10% and Jeb Bush at 4%, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Said pollster Bill McInturff: “When you see a number this different, it means you might be right on top of a shift in the campaign. What you don’t know yet is if the change is going to take place or if it is a momentary ‘pause’ before the numbers snap back into place. So, one poll post-Saturday debate can only reflect there may have been a ‘pause’ as Republican voters take another look at Trump. This happened earlier this summer and he bounced back stronger.”

Enumerati

Trump Holds Largest National Margin Yet

39%

Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP pack nationally — his highest total so far — followed by Marco Rubio at 19%, Ted Cruz at 18%, John Kasich at 6%, Jeb Bush at 4% and Ben Carson at 4%, according to a new Quinnipiac poll. Said pollster Tim Malloy: “Reports of Donald Trump’s imminent demise as a candidate are clearly and greatly exaggerated. Like a freight train barreling through signals with his horn on full blast, Trump heads down the track towards a possible nomination.” In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton is just ahead of Bernie Sanders, 44% to 42%.

Enumerati

Trump, Clinton Still Lead Nationally

35%

Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP field nationally, followed by Ted Cruz at 20%, Marco Rubio at 17%, Ben Carson at 7%, according to aAnew NBC News/SurveyMonkey tracking poll. Key finding: “While Trump still leads by 15 percentage points, his support has dropped in the past week as Rubio has risen 5 points. The remainder of the field has been relatively stagnant.” In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 51% to 39%.

Verbatim

The Pollsters Got It Half Right

FiveThirtyEight gave Donald Trump a 46% chance of winning in Iowa and Hillary Clinton a 67% chance. PredictWise gave Trump a 68% chance and Clinton a 73% chance. Bing Predicts also picked Trump and Clinton.

Enumerati

For Trump, Media Coverage Equals Poll Points, Not Favorability

70%

Share of all December Republican race media coverage Donald Trump has garnered — even higher than his long-term average of 54 percent, Reports FiveThirtyEight‘s Nate Silver. “According to the regression, that extra media coverage is worth about 8 percentage points in the polls: almost exactly how much Trump has gained in national polls since the month began and enough to put him in the mid-30s in the polling average instead of the high 20s.” Silver notes: “The interesting thing, as we’ve pointed out before, is that a candidate can potentially gain in the polls in the short term by increasing his media coverage, even if he potentially hurts his favorability rating. Trump seems to realize this.”