Tag Archives: Polls


Clinton Pulling Ahead in Key Battleground States

45% to 40%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump in a new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner poll. A new set of Wall Street Journal/NBC News polls shows Hillary Clinton leading in four key swing states: Colorado (43% to 35%), Florida (44% to 37%), North Carolina (44% to 38%) and Virginia (44% to 35%).

News & Comment

13 Percent Choose “Giant Meteor” Over Trump or Clinton


A recent Public Policy Poll gave respondents a way around either of the major parties’ presumptive nominees for president.

The third option offered over Donald Trump (R-Egomaniacal Nutjob) or Hillary Clinton (D-…well, you know) was Giant Meteor Hitting the Earth.

And Giant Meteor Hitting the Earth took 13 percent.

Here was the exact question:

If the choices for President were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, and a Giant Meteor hitting the earth which would you choose?

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Sanders Catches Clinton Nationally

50% to 48%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Bernie Sanders nationally in the Democratic presidential race, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. That’s down from Clinton’s nine-point advantage a month ago, 53% to 44%. The RealClearPolitics polling average shows Clinton’s lead at just 1.4%.


Majority of Voters Say America has ‘Lost Its Identity’


Of all voters strongly agree or somewhat agree with the statement, “America has lost its identity,” according to a new Quinnipiac poll. Among all Republicans, 79% agree, while only 36% of Democrats agree. The highest level of agreement is expressed by GOP supporters of Donald Trump, as 85% agree. Also interesting: There is a wide partisan division among American voters on the statement, “The government has gone too far in assisting minority groups.” Agreement is 45% among all voters, 72% among all Republicans and 18% among Democrats. Agreement is highest among Trump backers — 80%.


GOP Prez Race Tightens Nationally


Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP presidential field nationally, followed closely by Ted Cruz at 27%, John Kasich at 22% and Marco Rubio at 20%, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Also interesting is that Trump trails his rivals in hypothetical one-on-one match-ups: Cruz and Kasich best Trump by an identical 17 points, 57% to 40%, while Rubio beats Trump by 13 points, 56% to 43%.


Trump Falls Behind Cruz Nationally


Ted Cruz’ lead in the national GOP horserace, followed by Trump at 26%, Marco Rubio at 17%, John Kasich at 11%, Ben Carson at 10% and Jeb Bush at 4%, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Said pollster Bill McInturff: “When you see a number this different, it means you might be right on top of a shift in the campaign. What you don’t know yet is if the change is going to take place or if it is a momentary ‘pause’ before the numbers snap back into place. So, one poll post-Saturday debate can only reflect there may have been a ‘pause’ as Republican voters take another look at Trump. This happened earlier this summer and he bounced back stronger.”


Trump Holds Largest National Margin Yet


Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP pack nationally — his highest total so far — followed by Marco Rubio at 19%, Ted Cruz at 18%, John Kasich at 6%, Jeb Bush at 4% and Ben Carson at 4%, according to a new Quinnipiac poll. Said pollster Tim Malloy: “Reports of Donald Trump’s imminent demise as a candidate are clearly and greatly exaggerated. Like a freight train barreling through signals with his horn on full blast, Trump heads down the track towards a possible nomination.” In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton is just ahead of Bernie Sanders, 44% to 42%.


Trump, Clinton Still Lead Nationally


Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP field nationally, followed by Ted Cruz at 20%, Marco Rubio at 17%, Ben Carson at 7%, according to aAnew NBC News/SurveyMonkey tracking poll. Key finding: “While Trump still leads by 15 percentage points, his support has dropped in the past week as Rubio has risen 5 points. The remainder of the field has been relatively stagnant.” In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 51% to 39%.


The Pollsters Got It Half Right

FiveThirtyEight gave Donald Trump a 46% chance of winning in Iowa and Hillary Clinton a 67% chance. PredictWise gave Trump a 68% chance and Clinton a 73% chance. Bing Predicts also picked Trump and Clinton.


For Trump, Media Coverage Equals Poll Points, Not Favorability


Share of all December Republican race media coverage Donald Trump has garnered — even higher than his long-term average of 54 percent, Reports FiveThirtyEight‘s Nate Silver. “According to the regression, that extra media coverage is worth about 8 percentage points in the polls: almost exactly how much Trump has gained in national polls since the month began and enough to put him in the mid-30s in the polling average instead of the high 20s.” Silver notes: “The interesting thing, as we’ve pointed out before, is that a candidate can potentially gain in the polls in the short term by increasing his media coverage, even if he potentially hurts his favorability rating. Trump seems to realize this.”